Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.858746 6.430903 7.060392 7.809208 8.682131 9.675627 10.903564
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 4.922262 5.676623 6.572150 7.732269 9.224145 11.120792 13.789035
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 4.580862 5.474410 6.596366 8.148937 10.312079 13.339866 18.150497
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.247698 5.209105 6.467303 8.298598 11.018831 15.147961 22.471328
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.892844 4.862749 6.170638 8.147025 11.230805 16.226263 25.957386
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.621723 4.595781 5.943603 8.048750 11.483034 17.396727 30.041424
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.370516 4.330806 5.687351 7.864070 11.549884 18.240963 33.815941
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.192954 4.153387 5.538237 7.821599 11.839196 19.553805 39.304703
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.040917 3.999709 5.408187 7.789518 12.133908 20.945048 45.829934
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.956092 3.937074 5.408996 7.970812 12.848816 23.427688 57.400877
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.785630 3.734512 5.174308 7.719463 12.680396 23.852771 62.597812
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.631222 3.547457 4.951198 7.466359 12.470769 24.129632 67.585467
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.497069 3.391926 4.780693 7.314749 12.500624 25.169196 77.685874
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.387634 3.269865 4.658487 7.243891 12.705265 26.801882 93.503363
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.369359 3.288560 4.769473 7.621610 13.984144 32.115497 144.172010
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.310077 3.237343 4.756733 7.757073 14.733362 36.251110 206.696319
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.212236 3.117749 4.616316 7.619875 14.781269 37.997536 257.439761
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.129641 3.018718 4.505199 7.530856 14.938275 40.284831 337.216219
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.041683 2.906466 4.363383 7.363432 14.857528 41.607908 420.056450
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.978550 2.832531 4.285802 7.324904 15.125796 44.656705 609.457232
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.921059 2.765246 4.215934 7.295794 15.417741 48.078754 957.043790
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.892892 2.746094 4.233053 7.460222 16.319417 55.452705 2487.758744
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.816292 2.640632 4.082874 7.232209 15.976230 55.674854 3456.401106